- Capitalism and Alternatives -

What you'll get

Posted by: Gee ( si ) on August 10, 1999 at 15:15:59:

In Reply to: For comment by the resident Greens...and others. posted by borg on August 10, 1999 at 14:27:18:

: What about this?

: Can so many "experts" be wrong?

because this is based upon 95/97 findings it is out of date you see, so all the catastrophes are allowed to happen again now - and if you show evidence that they wont, well after a few months it will be out of date you see so all the catastrophes are allowed to happen again now.

It is very important to check all the research and to have as much scientific confidence in predictive models of environment change before 'rushing to save the world' (translates as rushing to boost my political career).

So politicized is environmentalism (among scientists too) that it makes for even more difficult sifting to find the truth.

http://www.junkscience.com/ is a good place to sift.

Environmentalism is one of the few areas where being wrong does not result in being discredited. There is, after all, always tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow. Note this article.

"Few groups have been so consistently wrong yet so revered by the political, intellectual and media elite as have environmentalists. They've been predicting that the world's going to run out of coal, oil, gas, food, arable land and you name it for decades. If anything, the world's known supply of things environmentalists said we're running out of has increased. Let's look at it.

In 1914, the U.S. Bureau of Mines predicted our oil reserves would last 10 years. In 1939, the U.S. Department of the Interior said American oil would last 13 years; it made the same prediction in 1951. In 1972, the Club of Rome's report "Limits to Growth" said total oil reserves totaled 550 billion barrels. With the report in hand, president Carter said, "We could use up all proven reserves in the entire word by the next decade." Between 1970 and 1990, the word used up 600 billion barrels but, as of 1990, the word had 1.5 trillion barrels of known, unexploited oil reserves.

In the 1970's, Lester Brown of Worldwatch Institute started predicting population growth would outstrip food production. His mentor, Paul Ehrlich, in his 1968 best selling book "Population Bomb," predicted that by 1999 the U.S. population would starve back to 22 million. Since 1961, world population has doubled; food production has more than doubled, even in many poor countries. The Food and Agriculture Organization reports that calories consumed per person in Third World countries are 27 percent higher now than in 1961.

What about the 1980s forest-destroying acid-rain scare? According to a $700 million official study, "There is no evidence of a general or unusual decline of forests in the U.S. of Canada due to acid rain." As for environmentalists' pressures to come to a panicky conclusion, one of the study's authors said: "Yes, there were political pressures. ...Acid rain had to be an environmental catastrophe, no matter what the facts revealed."

There are other false environmentalist claims, like urban sprawl is paving over vital cropland. Fact: Farmland lying fallow in the United States and Argentina alone could feed 1.4 billion people. Claim: Soil erosion will lead to new dust bowls. Fact: The percentage of cropland lost through soil erosion has dropped by two-thirds since the 1950s. Claim: Nuclear power is dangerous. Fact: Generating all of our electricity by nuclear power has the risk - equivalent of raising the highway speed limit by 0.006.

The media treat environmentalists, who've been wrong time after time, as gods of the truth. For Dr. Paul Ehrlich's work, the MacArthur Foundation bestowed its "genius" award along with a handsome stipend for his "promoting greater public understanding of environmental problems." Lester Brown, who's been predicting global starvation for 40 years, also received the MacArthur "genius" award along with a stipend.

Our continued belief in environmentalist mistakes, manipulation, lies and fearmongering leads us to establish public policies that kill people and reduce standards of living such as CAFE standards that dowsnsize autos and cause unnecessary highway deaths, energy-saving regulation that produce airtight sick buildings and the international push for birth control.

The next time an environmentalist warns us of disaster, we ought to ask: When was the last time your prediction was right?"

by Walter Williams

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